Protective forecasts plotted
Researchers say existing systems could be used to reduce harm to marine life.
Researchers from Australia and around the globe propose that existing forecasting and marine management tools could be harnessed to prevent harm to marine animals during climate extremes.
These tools have the potential to predict and avert incidents such as whale entanglements or sea turtle bycatch up to a year in advance, according to a new study.
Climate change is causing disruptions on a global scale, affecting ecosystems and human society. The urgency for ecological forecasts to aid resource management and decision-making has never been more apparent.
The study highlights the applicability of ecological forecasting systems, showcasing their ability to anticipate human-wildlife interactions resulting from climate extremes.
Stephanie Brodie and her team illustrate how existing management tools in the California Current Ecosystem can identify risks such as humpback whales getting entangled in crab fishing gear or loggerhead sea turtles caught in drift gillnets.
These tools, currently in use, can be transformed into a forecasting system providing accurate predictions up to 12 months ahead.
The researchers say that this approach could be globally applicable, especially in regions lacking the resources for detailed downscaling, including developing nations.
The authors stress the importance of advanced warning in developing proactive management strategies, crucial for addressing uncertainties amid global change challenges.
They propose expanding these approaches to coastal ecosystems worldwide, envisioning enhanced global marine resource management.